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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
32.71% ( 4.68) | 28.37% ( 0.54) | 38.92% ( -5.22) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% ( -0.46) | 59.88% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.85% ( -0.35) | 80.14% ( 0.35) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% ( 3.29) | 33.89% ( -3.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% ( 3.4) | 70.56% ( -3.4) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% ( -3.11) | 29.89% ( 3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% ( -3.93) | 65.99% ( 3.92) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.56) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -1.26) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.82) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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