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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
35.91% | 27.18% | 36.92% |
Both teams to score 50.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.93% | 55.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% | 76.33% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% | 29.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% | 65.33% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% | 28.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% | 64.57% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 27 | 37 | 78 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 72 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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