Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.54%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
68.98% ( -0.2) | 20.11% ( 0.21) | 10.91% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 39.67% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.42% ( -0.84) | 52.58% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.77% ( -0.73) | 74.23% ( 0.73) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% ( -0.32) | 14.23% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.03% ( -0.64) | 41.97% ( 0.64) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.25% ( -0.55) | 53.75% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.88% ( -0.34) | 87.12% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 14.54% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.98% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |