Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
37.26% ( -0.3) | 28.11% ( 0.03) | 34.63% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.3% ( -0.08) | 58.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% ( -0.06) | 79.24% ( 0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( -0.23) | 30.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( -0.27) | 66.48% ( 0.27) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.14) | 31.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.16) | 68.43% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |