Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
20.02% ( -0.02) | 24.3% ( -0) | 55.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.02) | 52.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.49% ( -0.02) | 74.5% ( 0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59% ( -0.03) | 41% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.44% ( -0.03) | 77.55% ( 0.02) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( -0.01) | 18.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% ( -0.01) | 50.36% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |