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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
44.74% (0.249 0.25) 28.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)61.12% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.145 -0.15)81.09% (0.142 0.14)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.7% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.341 -0.34)38.93% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.321 -0.32)75.66% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.73%
    Sevilla 27.05%
    Draw 28.2%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
12.9%
Draw
16.1%
Sevilla
71.0%
255
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Osasuna
Carlos (40'), Ocampos (60')
Jordan (61'), Bono (89')

Areso (54'), Budimir (70')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Osasuna
0-2
Sevilla

Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
Carlos (19'), De Jong (49')
El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
1-0
Osasuna
Ocampos (59' pen.)
Rakitic (77'), Fernando (87')

Garcia (38'), Sanjurjo (80'), Garcia (90+1')
Mar 1, 2020 11am
Sevilla
3-2
Osasuna
En-Nesyri (13', 90'), Ocampos (45')
Fernando (15'), Torres (84')
Hernandez (64'), Torres (74' pen.)
Gallego (76'), Brasanac (85')
Herrera (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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