Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
19.53% ( -0.07) | 21.92% ( -0.05) | 58.55% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.13) | 43.71% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.13) | 66.1% ( -0.13) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% | 36.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% | 73.01% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( 0.08) | 14.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 0.16) | 42.72% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.53% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |