Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
33.01% ( -2.82) | 26.18% ( -0.14) | 40.8% ( 2.96) |
Both teams to score 53.07% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.18) | 51.42% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0.16) | 73.23% ( -0.15) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( -1.66) | 29.37% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( -2.09) | 65.36% ( 2.09) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 1.68) | 24.86% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( 2.29) | 59.46% ( -2.29) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |