Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
47.95% ( -0.03) | 26.62% ( -0) | 25.42% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.47% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.4% ( 0.03) | 56.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( 0.02) | 77.57% ( -0.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0) | 23.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -0) | 57.73% ( 0) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.17% ( 0.04) | 37.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.4% ( 0.04) | 74.6% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 25.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |