Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
56.93% ( 1.26) | 23% ( -0.27) | 20.07% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -0.1) | 47.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.1) | 69.85% ( 0.1) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0.41) | 16.51% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 0.72) | 46.25% ( -0.72) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( -1.07) | 37.94% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( -1.05) | 74.71% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |