Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
27.1% | 28.52% | 44.37% |
Both teams to score 43.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.87% | 62.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.17% | 81.83% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% | 39.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% | 76.15% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% | 27.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% | 63.56% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.67% Total : 44.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |