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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
Kagawa (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamaguchi (51')
Sakai (28'), Thuler (71'), Patric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe are yet to lose on the road this season, but after drawing their last two away matches, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
33.07% (2.612 2.61) 27.88% (0.387 0.39) 39.05% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)58.06% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.607 -0.61)78.74% (0.60900000000001 0.61)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (1.459 1.46)32.7% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (1.597 1.6)69.25% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-2.032 -2.03)28.92% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-2.595 -2.6)64.8% (2.596 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 33.06%
    Vissel Kobe 39.05%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.704 0.7)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Vissel Kobe

Cerezo Osaka
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Vissel Kobe
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 24
Cerezo
3-0
Vissel Kobe
Taggart (22'), Suzuki (31'), Kato (87')

Yamakawa (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Jul 17, 2021 11am
gameweek 20
Cerezo
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Toriumi (89')
Furuhashi (30')
May 15, 2021 8am
gameweek 14
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Cerezo
Vermaelen (90+6')
Sakamoto (75')
Sep 16, 2020 11am
gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Cerezo

Dankler (81')
Kakitani (63')
Tokura (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1592424111329
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers159242417729
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka157441411325
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus158161816225
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo156542117423
8FC Tokyo156542624223
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1457225141122
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol145631616021
11Avispa Fukuoka154741316-319
12Tokyo Verdy153932023-318
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki154472223-116
15Albirex Niigata154471823-516
16Jubilo Iwata154381922-315
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare153572027-714
19Consadole SapporoConsadole152581328-1511
20Kyoto Sanga1523101129-189


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