MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 20:55:13| >> :60:44:44:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Paphiako Athlitiko Kentro
Estonia national football team

Sweden
2 - 1
Estonia

Nanasi (30'), Kiese Thelin (53')
Eriksson (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palumets (19')
Mihhailov (35'), Andre Vallner (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Sweden and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Estonia

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Estonia
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Sweden 2-1 Estonia

 Sweden may have named an inexperienced squad for the trip to Cyprus, but we still expect them to have enough quality to edge past Estonia in Friday's friendly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 7.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
SwedenDrawEstonia
76.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 15.85% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03) 7.2% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 37.69% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (0.441 0.44)46.2% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.414 0.41)68.49% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.84% (0.101 0.1)10.15% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (0.23099999999999 0.23)33.37% (-0.23 -0.23)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.95% (0.512 0.51)58.04% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.38% (0.278 0.28)89.62% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 76.93%
    Estonia 7.2%
    Draw 15.85%
SwedenDrawEstonia
2-0 @ 15.41% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 11.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.032 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 76.93%
1-1 @ 7.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.28% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 15.85%
0-1 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.99% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 7.2%

How you voted: Sweden vs Estonia

Sweden
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Estonia
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Sweden
2-0
Estonia
Claesson (22'), Forsberg (55')
Helander (72')

Kuusk (69'), Poom (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-5
Sweden

Mets (14')
Gyokeres (18'), Kulusevski (24'), Isak (39'), Quaison (75'), Claesson (90+2')
Hien (21')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
1-0
Estonia
Berg (4')
Sema (61'), Svanberg (80')

Kirss (52'), Purg (73'), Anier (76')
> Preview
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