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Club Friendlies
Feb 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
2 - 0
Al-Nassr

Milinkovic-Savic (17'), Al-Dawsari (30')
Malcom (28'), Lodi (63'), Mitrovic (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Talisca (8'), Brozovic (22'), Ronaldo (53'), Otavio (85'), Yahya (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 4-3 Inter Miami
Monday, January 29 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Nassr 6-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, February 1 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Al-Hilal 2-2 Al-Nassr (Al-Hilal to win on penalties)

 An entertaining yet closely-fought contest could be on the cards between two attack-minded teams who are set to be boosted by the return of a number of key players. Al-Hilal will be seeking revenge against Al-Nassr following their final defeat in the Arab Club Champions Cup, and considering their recent record against their Riyadh rivals, we can see the Blue Wave edging this encounter, potentially via a penalty shootout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
49.31% (-1.15 -1.15) 20.82% (0.386 0.39) 29.87% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 70.91% (-0.95299999999999 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.5% (-1.43 -1.43)27.49% (1.428 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.89% (-1.814 -1.81)48.11% (1.813 1.81)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (-0.827 -0.83)11.9% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (-1.79 -1.79)37.24% (1.79 1.79)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.322 -0.32)19.51% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (-0.529 -0.53)51.39% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 49.31%
    Al-Nassr 29.87%
    Draw 20.82%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.94% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.65% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.72% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.82%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.228 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.8% (0.287 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.205 0.21)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
26.1%
Draw
18.2%
Al-Nassr
55.7%
88
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Al-Hilal
3-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
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