MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 02:38:04| >> :120:34629:34629:
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Walsall

Southampton
4 - 0
Walsall

Fraser (6', 68'), Mara (58'), Adams (78')
Amo-Ameyaw (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-6 Walsall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Southampton 3-1 Walsall

Both sides have bigger promotion fish to fry in the coming months, but if the visitors' recent offensive exploits are anything to go by, Walsall ought to give an injury-hit Southampton a scare or two. However, Sadler's side have been decimated by fitness concerns of their own, and even if Saints boss Martin rings the changes, the in-form hosts should prove too strong for their League Two counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWalsall
63.31% (-0.438 -0.44) 19.08% (0.193 0.19) 17.61% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.97% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)33.49% (0.515 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-0.596 -0.6)55.28% (0.59 0.59)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)10.12% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (-0.584 -0.58)33.29% (0.579 0.58)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)32.16% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)68.65% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.31%
    Walsall 17.61%
    Draw 19.08%
SouthamptonDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 63.31%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 17.61%

How you voted: Southampton vs Walsall

Southampton
83.3%
Draw
7.1%
Walsall
9.5%
42
Head to Head
May 7, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Walsall
Connolly (29'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (68')
Jaidi (69')
Gray (45')
Richards (70'), Gray (78')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Walsall
1-0
Southampton
Macken (69')

Chaplow (45'), Hammond (90')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Southampton
5-1
Walsall
Lambert (61'), Puncheon (8'), Lallana (89'), Barnard (33', 36')
Richards (3')
Westlake (40'), Deeney (90')
Dec 5, 2009 3pm
Walsall
1-3
Southampton
Byfield (66')
Bradley (39'), Deeney (41'), Weston (69'), Hughes (76')
Lambert (65'), Hammond (38'), Connolly (32')
Harding (63'), Jaidi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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