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Maidstone United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
Barrow

Maidstone
2 - 1
Barrow

Corne (35'), Gurung (74')
Hoyte (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whitfield (20')
Spence (57'), Foley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Maidstone United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Walsall
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Maidstone United 1-3 Barrow

Maidstone have won their last three matches at the Gallagher Stadium but will face their sternest test of the term against Barrow on Saturday afternoon. The Bluebirds are in a sensational vein of form and will be fully confident of extending their winning streak to eight games with a comfortable success in Kent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawBarrow
21.9% (0.146 0.15) 23.91% (0.13 0.13) 54.17% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.367 -0.37)49.21% (0.368 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.333 -0.33)71.27% (0.331 0.33)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)36.97% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)73.75% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)18.07% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (-0.411 -0.41)48.98% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 21.9%
    Barrow 54.17%
    Draw 23.91%
Maidstone UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.088 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.31% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 21.9%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.17%

How you voted: Maidstone vs Barrow

Maidstone United
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 29
Barrow
1-0
Maidstone
Smith (62')
Agustien (44'), Jones (79')
Norrington-Davies (84')

Swaine (36'), Phillips (85')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Maidstone
1-0
Barrow
Mullings (6')
Muldoon (55')

Brown (55'), Jameson (70')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Barrow
0-1
Maidstone

Dunne (31'), Jones (53')
Pigott (52' pen.)
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Maidstone
2-1
Barrow
Pigott (45'), Lewis (62')
Ofori-Twumasi (69'), Prestedge (84')
Tunbull (9')
Rowe (53'), Hannah (83')
rhs 2.0
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