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UEFA Conference League
Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Turk Hava Yollari Futbol Markazi IV meydanca

Neftchi Baku
2 - 0
Zeljeznicar

Saief (19'), Silvestre (68')
Matias (44'), Zulfugarli (90+10'), Brkic (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kosoric (44'), Rustemovic (45'), Krpic (79'), Jasarevic (90+10')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Zeljeznicar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi Baku

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Last Game: Zeljeznicar 2-2 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Zeljeznicar

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Last Game: Zeljeznicar 2-2 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Zeljeznicar win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawZeljeznicar
40.27% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 26.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 33.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.026 -0.03)74.05% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)25.57% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Zeljeznicar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.66% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.012 -0.01)65.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 40.27%
    Zeljeznicar 33.3%
    Draw 26.43%
Neftchi BakuDrawZeljeznicar
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.27%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs Zeljeznicar

Neftchi Baku
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Zeljeznicar
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 8pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zeljeznicar
2-2
Neftchi Baku
Haracic (14'), Amoah (45+9')
Biber (43'), Drina (45+1'), Ovcina (45+2')
Kosoric (43' og.), Haciyev (90+5')
Saief (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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