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Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia
0 - 1
Luhansk


Mattheij (46'), Wildschut (69'), Caicedo (78'), Mazikou (84'), Lam (86')
Vion (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sayyadmanesh (65')
Khomchenovskiy (28'), Cvek (89'), Favorov (90+7')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between CSKA Sofia and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
CSKA SofiaDrawZorya Luhansk
50.45%23.54%26.01%
Both teams to score 57.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37%43.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97%66.02%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61%17.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.2%47.79%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45%66.54%
Score Analysis
    CSKA Sofia 50.45%
    Zorya Luhansk 26.01%
    Draw 23.54%
CSKA SofiaDrawZorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.45%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-1 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 26.01%

How you voted: CSKA Sofia vs Luhansk

CSKA Sofia
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Zorya Luhansk
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2019 6pm
Third Qualifying Round
Luhansk
1-0
CSKA Sofia
Rusyn (89')
Khomchenovskiy (21'), Yurchenko (29'), Budkivskyi (45'), Rusyn (68'), Shevchenko (90')
Rusyn (92')

Turitsov (15')
Turitsov (22')
Aug 8, 2019 6.30pm
Third Qualifying Round
CSKA Sofia
1-1
Luhansk
Evandro (13')
Bikel (33'), Malinov (41'), Fabbrini (75')
Yurchenko (45' pen.)
Tymchyk (61'), Abu Hanna (74')
rhs 2.0
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