Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje3 - 4Guimaraes
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Wolves
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.2% ( 0.37) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 0.23) | 46.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.02% ( 0.22) | 68.97% ( -0.22) |
Celje Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.38) | 29.59% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( 0.46) | 65.62% ( -0.46) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0.06) | 20.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0.1) | 52.75% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celje 29.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.07%
Draw 24.73%
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.07% |
How you voted: Celje vs Guimaraes
Celje
16.7%Draw
0.0%Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%6
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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