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Aston Villa logo
Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Hibs logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hibernian

Duran (11'), Bailey (34'), Cash (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 2-0 Hibernian (Aston Villa win 7-0 on aggregate)

Able to play out the second leg in second gear, Aston Villa should serenely cruise through to the group stage by beating Hibernian again. Managerless Hibs are in disarray at the moment, and they will only have damage limitation in mind when they travel south to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
48.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.87%28.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)60.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.71%
    Hibernian 28.42%
    Draw 22.86%
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Hibernian

Aston Villa
85.1%
Draw
9.5%
Hibernian
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 5.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Hibernian
0-5
Aston Villa

Boyle (90+1')
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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