Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)
Alashkert1 - 1Arsenal Tivat
Ustinov (66')
Carrillo (57')
Carrillo (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Montenegro (23')
Maras (10'), Celebic (35'), Mirkovic (58')
Maras (10'), Celebic (35'), Mirkovic (58')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Arsenal Tivat.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 4-1 Alashkert
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alashkert FC | Draw | Arsenal Tivat |
71.16% ( 0.01) | 19.31% ( -0.01) | 9.52% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 37.32% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
