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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Emmen

SBV Excelsior
2 - 1
Emmen

Tjoe-A-On (61'), Seymor (90+4')
Fein (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romeny (45')
Mendes (24'), Vlak (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 5-2 SBV Excelsior
Sunday, September 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 Emmen

There is little to choose between the sides in this one, and Saturday's meeting could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the visitors to just about see off the threat of their hosts and get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
39.57% (-0.454 -0.45) 26.53% (-0.148 -0.15) 33.9% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.16% (0.612 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.715 0.71)52.68% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.609 0.61)74.32% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)26.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.113 0.11)61.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.747 0.75)29.43% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (0.90300000000001 0.9)65.42% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 39.57%
    Emmen 33.9%
    Draw 26.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Emmen

SBV Excelsior
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Emmen
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3.30pm
SBV Excelsior
0-1
Emmen

El Yaakoubi (74'), Azarkan (83')
Veldmate (73' pen.)
Luzayadio (41'), Veendorp (59')
Oct 9, 2021 5.45pm
Emmen
0-1
SBV Excelsior

(86'), Hilterman (90+4')
Dallinga (32')
Aberkane (48'), Chacon (79'), Niemeijer (90+4')
Feb 17, 2019 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
Emmen
Edwards (62'), Eckert (65')
De Leeuw (59')
Nov 25, 2018 11.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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