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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | NEC | 5 | 2 | 6 |
10 | SBV Excelsior | 5 | -8 | 6 |
11 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Vitesse | 5 | -8 | 4 |
15 | Emmen | 5 | -9 | 4 |
16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Emmen |
39.57% ( -0.45) | 26.53% ( -0.15) | 33.9% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( 0.71) | 52.68% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( 0.61) | 74.32% ( -0.61) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( 0.08) | 26.09% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.86% ( 0.11) | 61.14% ( -0.11) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( 0.75) | 29.43% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( 0.9) | 65.42% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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