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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Almere City

de Jong (45', 63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Floranus (5'), Pena (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 PSV
Wednesday, January 24 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Almere City

In this tie, PSV are overwhelming favourites and will view it as the ideal opportunity to bounce back from their Dutch Cup defeat to Feyenoord. We expect the home side to rack up plenty of goals, but the visitors should nick one in themselves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
81.39% (-0.574 -0.57) 11.6% (0.327 0.33) 7.01% (0.2431 0.24)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75% (-0.779 -0.78)25% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.08% (-1.022 -1.02)44.92% (1.02 1.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (-0.23 -0.23)4.61% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.21% (-0.71300000000001 -0.71)18.79% (0.71 0.71)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)43.04% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.32% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 81.39%
    Almere City 7.01%
    Draw 11.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAlmere City
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 8.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 6.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.211 0.21)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-1 @ 3.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
6-0 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.03% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 81.39%
1-1 @ 5.15% (0.175 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.6%
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.01%

How you voted: PSV vs Almere City

PSV Eindhoven
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Almere City
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Almere City
0-4
PSV

Akujobi (28')
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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