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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
42.35% ( -0.01) | 23.26% ( -0) | 34.38% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.75% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.3% ( 0) | 37.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.06% ( 0) | 59.93% ( -0.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -0) | 18.26% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.69% | 49.3% ( -0) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( 0) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( 0.01) | 55.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 34.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |