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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Heracles
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 2-1 PEC Zwolle

There is certainly not much to split these two sides, but with confidence from an impressive midweek result and home advantage on their side, we give Heracles the edge and back them to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
47.75% (0.588 0.59) 22.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 29.6% (-0.521 -0.52)
Both teams to score 63.67% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)36.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)59.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (0.209 0.21)15.83% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.99% (0.375 0.38)45.01% (-0.366 -0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.33 -0.33)24.36% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.473 -0.47)58.76% (0.481 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 47.75%
    PEC Zwolle 29.6%
    Draw 22.65%
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.6%

How you voted: Heracles vs PEC Zwolle

Heracles
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
PEC Zwolle
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Heracles
Van Polen (90+2' pen.)

Vloet (90+9')
Mar 7, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Vloet (61'), De la Torre (90+2')
Saymak (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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