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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
38.17% | 24.84% | 36.99% |
Both teams to score 58.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% | 44.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% | 23.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% | 57.25% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% | 58.15% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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