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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
28.93% ( -0.44) | 24.81% ( 0.19) | 46.25% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.77% ( -1.1) | 47.22% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.54% ( -1.03) | 69.45% ( 1.03) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( -0.87) | 30.04% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( -1.06) | 66.17% ( 1.06) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.35) | 20.48% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.55) | 52.95% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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