MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 01:11:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
3 - 2
Stabaek

Alexander Kirkevold (32'), Lonstad Onsrud (49'), Martin Gammelby (90+4')
Lonstad Onsrud (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bakenga (51'), Jendal (77' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between HamKam and Stabaek Football, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-3 HamKam
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Viking FK
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HamKam 1-0 Stabaek Football

HamKam have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks, winning their last two games on the spin, and they should be able to defeat a newly-promoted side on home soil. Games involving Stabaek are very rarely high-scoring affairs, with just two goals behind scored in their last three games, so we expect it will be a narrow victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
36.6% (0.128 0.13) 26.8% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)75.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)63.89% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)28.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.102 -0.1)63.88% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 36.59%
    Stabaek Football 36.6%
    Draw 26.8%
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.6%

How you voted: HamKam vs Stabaek

HamKam
54.8%
Draw
22.6%
Stabaek Football
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt97112151622
2SK BrannBrann10631178921
3Fredrikstad96211971220
4MoldeMolde105232013717
5Viking FKViking FK94321311215
6KFUM OsloKFUM93421010013
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset94141013-313
8HamKam102441310310
9KristiansundKristiansund92431215-310
10RosenborgRosenborg93151216-410
11FK HaugesundHaugesund9315813-510
12Lillestrom93151016-610
13Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg93151219-710
14Odd10235920-119
15SandefjordSandefjord82151013-37
16Tromso ILTromso82061017-76


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