Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad1 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | River Plate |
28.24% ( -0.09) | 25.58% ( -0.03) | 46.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
