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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.1% ( 0.27) | 24.28% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( -0) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.1) | 18.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.17) | 50.24% ( -0.17) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( -0.21) | 39.93% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -0.2) | 76.58% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
P | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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