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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
48.1% | 26.71% | 25.19% |
Both teams to score 47.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.92% | 57.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.04% | 77.96% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% | 23.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% | 57.94% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% | 38.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% | 75.06% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |