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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Southampton |
22.46% ( 0.02) | 22.67% ( 0) | 54.87% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0.02) | 43.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0.02) | 65.64% ( -0.02) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( 0.03) | 33.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( 0.03) | 69.71% ( -0.03) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( -0) | 15.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% | 44.7% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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