Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs
Valmiera1 - 2Ljubljana
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Valmiera 1-1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (NK Olimpija Ljubljana to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Valmiera have plenty of competitive matches under their belt this year and their recent home record bodes well in their quest to turn the first-round tie around. However, a fresh and fired-up Olimpija outfit, who boast more experience at this stage of Champions League qualifying, should do enough to record at least a draw in the second leg to send them through on aggregate to the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valmiera | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
50.41% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
