MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 06:06:43| >> :120:30590:30590:
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Leipzig logo

Red Star
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Henrichs (81' og.)
Mijailovic (6'), Krasso (28'), Ivanic (52'), Lucic (73'), Olayinka (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simons (8'), Openda (77')
Simakan (49'), Lukeba (56'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig ought to have learned their lesson about risky plays out from the back following their meeting with Red Star a fortnight ago, and their recent failures domestically should offer the hosts quite the injection of confidence. Quelling Rose's effervescent young attackers is another matter entirely for the Serbian champions, though, and we have faith in Leipzig to rectify their recent defeats and advance to the knockout stages by virtue of a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
39.8% (1.445 1.45) 22.65% (-0.553 -0.55) 37.54% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 66.71% (2.149 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (2.797 2.8)34.07% (-2.798 -2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (3.097 3.1)55.94% (-3.1 -3.1)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (1.844 1.84)17.82% (-1.846 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (3.088 3.09)48.56% (-3.089 -3.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.81 0.81)18.82% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (1.338 1.34)50.25% (-1.34 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
    RB Leipzig 37.54%
    Draw 22.65%
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.494 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 4% (0.332 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.111 0.11)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.558 -0.56)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Red Star vs RB Leipzig

Red Star Belgrade
18.8%
Draw
15.2%
RB Leipzig
66.1%
112
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-1
Red Star
Raum (12'), Simons (59'), Olmo (84')
Henrichs (28')
Stamenic (70')
Stamenic (34'), Rodic (45+3'), In-beom (46'), Djiga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!