Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Rakow
Rakow3 - 2Qarabag
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Qarabag FK
Both these sides come into this match carrying solid domestic league form and managed fairly convincing wins in their first-round matches. We expect this to be a close-run encounter between two well-matched sides and fancy that they will cancel each other out and head into the second leg level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Qarabag FK |
47.44% ( 0.05) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 27.6% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
