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Champions League header

Champions League
Lazio logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Celtic logo

Lazio
2 - 0
Celtic

Immobile (82', 85')
Rovella (50'), Pedro (89'), Patric (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (27'), Johnston (35'), O'Riley (71'), Yang (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Celtic

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Lazio 2-1 Celtic

 While Lazio are struggling to produce consistent performances in Serie A, they have fared reasonably well in the Champions League group stage, having lost just one of their four matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory on Tuesday to prolong Celtic's poor run of form in European football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCeltic
31.34% (0.23 0.23) 23.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 44.87% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 60.63% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.21700000000001 0.22)41.28% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.22000000000001 0.22)63.67% (-0.225 -0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.249 0.25)25.46% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.341 0.34)60.29% (-0.346 -0.35)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33%18.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 31.34%
    Celtic 44.87%
    Draw 23.78%
LazioDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.34%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.87%

How you voted: Lazio vs Celtic

Lazio
82.8%
Draw
9.8%
Celtic
7.4%
215
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
1-2
Lazio
Furuhashi (12')
Phillips (45+2'), Palma (82')
Vecino (29'), Pedro (90+5')
Alberto (61'), Castellanos (74'), Vecino (90+3'), Sepe (90+7')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2019 5.55pm
Group Stage
Lazio
1-2
Celtic
Immobile (7')
Caicedo (42')
Forrest (38'), Ntcham (95')
Brown (51')
> Match Report
Oct 24, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
2-1
Lazio
Christie (67'), Jullien (89')
Elyounoussi (62'), Jullien (77'), Ajer (94')
Lazzari (40')
Bastos (76'), Cataldi (87')
> Match Report
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