MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 23:02:19| >> :600:91526:91526:
Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
HJK logo

Larne
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bonis (65' pen.), Thomson (87')
Donnelly (47'), Bonis (73'), Want (110')
FT
(aet)
Ollila (26'), Want (96' og.)
Raitala (64'), Tenho (74'), Ollila (79'), Radulovic (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)

The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie. The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
29.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.57%
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.26%
    HJK Helsinki 42.19%
    Draw 28.53%
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 13.34%
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki

Larne
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
HJK Helsinki
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Larne
Radulovic (3' pen.)
Tenho (28')

Bolger (31'), Cosgrove (46'), Want (89'), Donnelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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