MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 03:16:31| >> :120:20378:20378:
Galatasaray
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Rams Global Stadium
Bayern logo

Galatasaray
1 - 3
Bayern

Icardi (30' pen.)
Tete (53'), Ayhan (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coman (8'), Kane (73'), Musiala (79')
Sane (14'), Laimer (32'), Davies (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Galatasaray and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Besiktas
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Galatasaray 2-3 Bayern Munich

A ravaged Bayern backline should be there for the taking for an in-form Galatasaray crop, who have scored multiple goals in 11 of their last 12 fixtures and can play with the handbrake off against Tuchel's charges. However, Buruk's defence may not have the answers to an onslaught or two from the visitors' own attacking stars, and while we expect a captivating affair with the net rippling a few times, we place our faith in Bayern to emerge victorious yet again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawBayern Munich
28.69% (0.038 0.04) 22.83% (0.0019999999999989 0) 48.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 62.37% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (0.034999999999997 0.03)60.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.1% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 28.69%
    Bayern Munich 48.47%
    Draw 22.83%
GalatasarayDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.47%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Bayern

Galatasaray
23.4%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
64.8%
244
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!