MX23RW : Monday, May 20 13:27:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (67'), Brandt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

Only Schalke and Bochum have conceded more goals than Werder so far this season, but there is little doubt that Werner's side possess a potent threat in attack. As such, we can envisage a highly-entertaining encounter at Weserstadion, with Dortmund potentially coming out on top to win their fifth consecutive league game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
15.83% (0.382 0.38) 17.64% (0.284 0.28) 66.52% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 62.48% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (-0.628 -0.63)29.84% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49% (-0.764 -0.76)51% (0.765 0.77)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.025000000000006 0.03)31.8% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)8.38% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)29.16% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.83%
    Borussia Dortmund 66.52%
    Draw 17.64%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.75% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 15.83%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.64%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-6 @ 0.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 66.52%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
10.9%
Draw
2.2%
Borussia Dortmund
87.0%
46
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!