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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.73% ( -0.29) | 23.48% ( 0.18) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( -0.75) | 41.27% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% ( -0.77) | 63.67% ( 0.77) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( -0.4) | 17.52% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( -0.7) | 48.03% ( 0.7) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( -0.3) | 27.11% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.5% ( -0.4) | 62.5% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.88% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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