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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 4.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
87.24% | 8.42% | 4.34% |
Both teams to score 51.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.97% | 20.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.83% | 38.17% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.05% | 2.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.63% | 13.37% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.09% | 46.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.58% | 82.42% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
3-0 @ 10.11% 4-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-1 @ 6.75% 2-1 @ 6.52% 5-0 @ 6.29% 1-0 @ 4.89% 5-1 @ 4.76% 6-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.9% 6-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.56% 7-0 @ 1.86% 5-2 @ 1.8% 7-1 @ 1.41% 6-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.64% Total : 87.23% | 1-1 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.47% 0-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.87% Total : 8.42% | 1-2 @ 1.4% 0-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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