Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
