MX23RW : Thursday, May 30 15:07:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 15, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Estudiantes

River Plate
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Beltran (2'), de la Cruz (18'), Barco (31' pen.)
Fernandez (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (67')
Mancuso (38'), Zuqui (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, July 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: River Plate 2-1 Estudiantes

 River Plate have proven to be an irresistible force at the Estadio Monumental, and we think that they will edge out Estudiantes to claim a 10th successive home victory in the Primera Division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 12.79% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.08%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)46.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)82.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.51%
    Estudiantes 12.79%
    Draw 19.69%
River PlateDrawEstudiantes
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 12.79%

How you voted: River Plate vs Estudiantes

River Plate
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Estudiantes
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 23
River Plate
5-0
Estudiantes
Oct 31, 2021 11.15pm
Second Phase
Estudiantes
1-1
River Plate
Diaz (51')
Pellegrini (72'), Tobio (80')
Rojas (45+2')
Jeremias Fernandez (6')
Feb 15, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Estudiantes
2-1
River Plate
Noguera (72')
Tobio (45+2')
Perez (19'), Angileri (50'), Zuculini (60')
Feb 24, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 21
Estudiantes
0-2
River Plate

Gomez (57'), Rodriguez (72'), Mascherano (73'), Estevez (81')
Borre (22'), Suarez (64')
Borre (45')
Nov 3, 2018 8.45pm
Gameweek 11
Estudiantes
1-0
River Plate
Fernandez (50' og.)
Noguera (44')

Sosa (13'), Zuculini (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing321011477
2GimnasiaGimnasia32107257
3TalleresTalleres32105147
4HuracanHuracan32105237
5UnionUnion32104137
6Independiente Rivadavia32103037
7River PlateRiver Plate32016156
8EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
9Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
10Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs320145-16
11Rosario CentralRosario31115414
12Boca Juniors31114314
13Instituto31113304
14LanusLanus311134-14
15Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield311134-14
16Barracas Central311123-14
17Atletico TucumanTucuman311123-14
18BelgranoBelgrano311168-24
19Deportivo Riestra310214-33
20IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
21Platense302113-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre301216-51
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba300339-60
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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