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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 10am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
5 - 0
Johor Darul

Ienaga (8'), Damiao (50'), Marcinho (60'), Kobayashi (69'), Yamane (88')
Ominami (33'), Tono (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wan (36'), Amat (42'), Baharudin (78'), Fazail (81'), Saad (85')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 7 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
40.63% (-0.55 -0.55) 23.12% (-0.295 -0.29) 36.25% (0.848 0.85)
Both teams to score 64.71% (1.299 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (1.628 1.63)36.61% (-1.625 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (1.751 1.75)58.76% (-1.748 -1.75)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.443 0.44)18.54% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (0.74 0.74)49.78% (-0.738 -0.74)
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (1.168 1.17)20.56% (-1.167 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (1.815 1.82)53.08% (-1.813 -1.81)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 40.63%
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 36.25%
    Draw 23.12%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.429 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 40.63%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.051000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.25%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Johor Darul
0-1
Kawasaki

Wan (11'), Bergson (77'), Diogo (82'), Lowry (90+2'), Muniz (90+5')
Marcinho (45')
Kurumaya (74'), Tachibanada (81'), Schmidt (90+5')
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Johor Darul
0-5
Kawasaki

Mauricio (12'), Fazail (24')
Wakizaka (14'), Kobayashi (31', 43'), Marcinho (81'), Songkrasin (88')
Apr 21, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Kawasaki
0-0
Johor Darul
Kurumaya (83')
Velazquez (36'), Aiman (43')
rhs 2.0
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