Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.52%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
52.45% ( 0.68) | 21.22% ( 0.06) | 26.33% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 66.28% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% ( -0.92) | 32.29% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.1% ( -1.08) | 53.9% ( 1.09) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% ( -0.11) | 12.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.19% ( -0.24) | 38.81% ( 0.25) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.96) | 24.12% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( -1.39) | 58.43% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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