Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag2 - 1NAC Breda
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between ADO Den Haag and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | FC Eindhoven | 37 | 26 | 70 |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 60.76% | 20.43% | 18.81% |
| Both teams to score 58.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
