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EFL Cup
Rotherham logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New York Stadium
Morecambe

Rotherham
2 - 1
Morecambe

Kayode (37')
Onyedinma (89')
FT
(aet)
Mellon (22')
Moore (59')
Rotherham win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Rotherham United and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Rotherham United 1-0 Morecambe

 With both managers likely to make wholesale changes for this cup tie, we do not expect to see a great deal of quality played out at AESSEAL New York Stadium on Tuesday. However, the hosts will be determined to gain revenge on Morecambe after suffering defeat to them in this competition last season, and we expect them to get the job done in the form of a tight victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMorecambe
43.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 25.88% (0.0040000000000013 0) 30.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (-0.012 -0.01)50.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.71% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)23.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)57.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.47% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 43.18%
    Morecambe 30.93%
    Draw 25.88%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.93%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Morecambe

Rotherham United
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Rotherham
0-1
Morecambe
Gnahoua (72')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Rotherham
2-0
Morecambe
Ladapo (4', 30')
Wiles (45+3')

Bedeau (73')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-1
Rotherham

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Smith (60')
Mattock (88'), Smith (90+4')
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4-5
Morecambe
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Apr 6, 2013 3pm
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Revell (64')
O'Connor (90')
Mullins (71')
rhs 2.0
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