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QPR logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Norwich logo

QPR
0 - 1
Norwich


Field (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rowe (90+9')
Omobamidele (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Queens Park Rangers and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 QPR
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Norwich City

Both teams will likely make changes for this contest, making it difficult to make a prediction with any real confidence. Nevertheless, the Canaries have been the more improved side this season thus far and may edge this fixture, despite their hosts being on a high from the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawNorwich City
31.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 24.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 43.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)54.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 31.3%
    Norwich City 43.75%
    Draw 24.95%
Queens Park RangersDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.75%

How you voted: QPR vs Norwich

Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
Draw
9.7%
Norwich City
65.3%
72
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
QPR
1-1
Norwich
Dykes (9')
Idah (46')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Norwich
0-0
QPR
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
QPR
1-3
Norwich
Dykes (71')
Field (68')
Quintilla (32'), Aarons (57'), Buendia (82')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Norwich
1-1
QPR
Pukki (74' pen.)
Zimmermann (84'), McLean (87'), Skipp (90')
Osayi-Samuel (84' pen.)
Kane (22'), Ball (73'), Dickie (76'), Carroll (89'), Osayi-Samuel (90+1'), Bonne (90+4')
Apr 6, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Norwich
4-0
QPR
Buendia (6'), Stiepermann (12'), Pukki (38', 85')
Buendia (71')

Lynch (44'), Furlong (91')
rhs 2.0
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15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
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