Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
24.01% ( -0.28) | 22.72% ( -0.03) | 53.27% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.21% ( -0.18) | 41.79% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.81% ( -0.18) | 64.19% ( 0.18) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% ( -0.33) | 30.97% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% ( -0.39) | 67.28% ( 0.39) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( 0.04) | 15.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( 0.08) | 44.76% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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